Dallas Cowboys vs Atlanta Falcons Game Overview

Both the Cowboys and Falcons have had plenty of big offensive plays this year, but at times both have struggled to put together long, sustained drives. The winner of the game will likely be the one who can run the ball effectively on 1st down and in short yardage situations. Michael Turner is only averaging 3.7 ypc in simulations. If he has 4.0+ ypc the Falcons chances improve from 33 to 44 percent. If Turner can run for at least 2 explosive plays of 20+ yards and has 5+ ypc the Falcons are 52 percent favorites. On the flip side, if Tony Romo plays well with at least 250 yards and no turnovers the Cowboys control the game with a 79 percent chance of winning. – espn

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